In this episode, Glenn and Eric kick things off with a round of “A Truth, A Lie, and a Mandela Effect,” before addressing a listener question about creating a forum for discussion and community interaction. The main focus is the long-awaited release of the Noblis/FBI “Black Box 2” study on latent fingerprint examiner performance. They break down the study’s findings—based on over 14,000 comparisons by 156 U.S. examiners—including key stats like a 0.2% false positive rate and a 4.2% false negative rate. The guys also highlight important changes in study design from the original 2011 study and discuss how a single participant accounted for over half the false positives.
Article is available for free at:
doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2025.112457